Jolly-Shovel
0x8bfe1a051ca40ec2e0ba5b842e2818496cf7c44d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.9K
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
15866 shares @ 51.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.9K
$-266.23
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
21944 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
6801 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2025?
4947 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-643.13
- NO
Will Vance visit Greenland before July?
2760 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-98.91
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?
2670 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?
2614 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
1406 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-133.50
- NO
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
909 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-149.45
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
485 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-198.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$3.5KMay 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$4.6KMay 17, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$9.6KMay 17, 18:31 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.48May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.7KMay 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$14.14May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$0.87May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$45.64May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$161.72May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.4KMay 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.8KMay 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.3KMay 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$6.83May 16, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$176.22May 16, 05:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.02May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$192.27May 15, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.65May 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.46May 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.15May 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$134.23May 15, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $471.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".