Valuable-Orangutan
0x8c7a96aeba603d917b301836c5799393cde37c2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$228.78
Total PnL
$-407.42
Realised
$55.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1370 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
362 shares @ 27.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$45.28
$-52.53
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
28 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$22.97
$0.97
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.42
$-6.58
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.03
$-10.97
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.14
$-13.86
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
63 shares @ 39.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.99
$-14.01
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.96
$-1.04
- YES
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.44
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.63May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$25.00Apr 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$25.00Apr 30, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$152.64Apr 21, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$81.00Apr 20, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?$100.00Apr 20, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?$209.05Apr 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$5.00Apr 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?$100.00Apr 15, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$25.00Apr 9, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?$15.00Apr 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$50.00Apr 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$25.00Apr 7, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?$10.00Apr 4, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$10.00Apr 4, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$111.53Mar 30, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$100.00Mar 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$75.00Mar 17, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$25.00Mar 11, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$25.00Mar 11, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $33.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".