Frightened-Oak
0x8ca3b962921c6af06af99e5e88afb3210be62d23
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
142
Open notional
$53.77
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- YES
Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 30.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$30.75
$16.75
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
76 shares @ 13.2¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.36
$-3.64
- YES
Will Solana reach $130 in May?
370 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.81
$-5.18
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
7 shares @ 14.4¢·now 32.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7 shares @ 14.9¢·now 23.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- YES
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 35.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.28
$-0.92
- YES
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
30 shares @ 6.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.13
$-0.91
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.82May 12, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.11May 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.10May 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.11May 12, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.13May 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.13May 12, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$1.19May 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$1.00May 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in May?$10.68May 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 27?$0.00May 10, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?$0.00May 10, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 10, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$7.00May 10, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$3.97May 7, 16:50 UTC
- REWARD$79.78May 2, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?$0.01Apr 27, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?$0.04Apr 27, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?$0.04Apr 27, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?$0.36Apr 27, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?$0.04Apr 27, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $21.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".