Legitimate-Chives
0x8ca40fa0a0c2d5a145bc307382b329fcf9d47e83
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$144.60
Total PnL
$-21.75
Realised
$0.82
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?
110 shares @ 9.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.45
$11.55
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
18 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.46
$1.16
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
136 shares @ 3.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.95
$8.86
- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.17
$0.27
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.90
$0.00
- NO
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.63
$-0.27
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.07
$3.13
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.04
$-1.86
- NO
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.00
$0.25
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$6.80
$0.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$8.06May 18, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$6.20May 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$3.14May 17, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$10.22May 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win 19-21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.28May 17, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$3.25May 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$4.88May 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.10May 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$10.14May 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$22.52May 17, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.87May 17, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.80May 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.91May 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.91May 17, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.91May 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.25May 17, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$11.20May 17, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win 19-21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$2.25May 17, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$9.96May 16, 22:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".