0x8ce03dbc82844453e06ae0c47aeef86fde3a90fc
0x8ce03dbc82844453e06ae0c47aeef86fde3a90fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$80.66
Total PnL
$2.99
Realised
$1.22
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
20 shares @ 93.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.71
$0.07
- YES
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
64 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.84
$1.52
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.98
$4.48
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
11 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.30
$-0.39
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 75.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.28
$1.28
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
11 shares @ 49.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.10
$0.63
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
12 shares @ 50.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.35
$-0.69
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.13
$1.63
- YES
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
9 shares @ 21.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$0.32
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$-4.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$5.47Apr 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$6.04Apr 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.08Apr 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$4.67Apr 27, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $4.92Apr 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $3.96Apr 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$14.40Apr 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.68Apr 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$7.12Apr 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$23.40Apr 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.12Apr 23, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.89Apr 23, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$3.08Apr 23, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$12.77Apr 23, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$8.69Apr 23, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $4.74Apr 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $4.84Apr 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$21.41Apr 23, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$5.67Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$1.33Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".