Intrepid-Magnitude
0x8cf3508fee26f252c91c7011a158f869748fb0fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$123.81
Total PnL
$-41.66
Realised
$5.75
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will 4 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 3.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.03
$17.58
- YES
Will 6 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 2.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.37
$14.22
- YES
Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 2.3¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.30
$13.04
- YES
Will 5 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 2.7¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.58
$8.98
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.50
$1.50
- YES
Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.00
$8.50
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
20 shares @ 32.5¢·now 44.8¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$8.95
$2.45
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.75
$1.25
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.75
$0.95
- YES
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.30
$1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.42May 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$3.45May 17, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$6.50May 16, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$3.00May 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$3.00May 16, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?$0.25May 16, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$4.20May 15, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.38May 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?$1.71May 15, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?$0.87May 15, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?$0.38May 15, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 27 and July 3?$0.19May 15, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?$0.45May 15, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?$1.40May 15, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.60May 15, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$5.00May 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$1.63May 15, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$2.40May 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$0.50May 14, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$0.35May 14, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".