Moral-Bag
0x8cf6b36393cc99d75b8aa5b3054d6d9af3c78821
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$9.49
Total PnL
$-220.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
56 shares @ 83.8¢·now 17.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.49
$-37.32
- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
143 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-137.48
- NO
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?
39 shares @ 64.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-25.37
- CANELO
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$46.81Dec 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$46.81Nov 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?$137.48Oct 23, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$137.48Oct 1, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$22.91Sep 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$100.00Sep 16, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$0.00Sep 13, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$78.95Sep 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$21.41Sep 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$22.55Sep 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$19.93Sep 8, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$60.00Sep 8, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $20.00Sep 8, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 6, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 6, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$17.99Sep 4, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$25.37Aug 21, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$25.36Aug 21, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$49.98Aug 19, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $40.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 23:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".