Outrageous-Goose
0x8d1153fcd831d3fb884ae8cb05984d2cd0c2239a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$178.38
Total PnL
$-1.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
151 shares @ 33.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$52.04
$2.04
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 55.8¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.92
$7.92
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
28 shares @ 54.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.45
$11.45
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.00
$3.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.57
$2.57
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
65 shares @ 32.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.80
$-10.20
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-1.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 06:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$0.00May 6, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.00May 6, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$0.00May 6, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.00May 6, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?$0.00May 6, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google say "NVIDIA" during earnings call?$0.00May 6, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 6, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".