Rotten-Gingerbread
0x8d32c5c600d5422e6c6b8cb433f67549d45bf958
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$74.96
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$17.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
8819 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$74.96
$-75.03
- NO
Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
1295 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-703.23
- YES
Will France vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
305 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-112.85
- YES
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
292 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- OVER
Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
287 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UNDER
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
223 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OGC Nice vs. FC Metz end in a draw?$199.79May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OGC Nice vs. FC Metz end in a draw?$101.50May 17, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?$285.98May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?$102.64May 17, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.45May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$10.49May 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$139.21May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$102.45May 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?$51.00May 7, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?$101.17May 2, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)$138.13May 2, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)$100.83May 2, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.97Apr 30, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?$51.11Apr 30, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$51.05Apr 29, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$277.78Apr 29, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$101.92Apr 28, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$100.00Apr 18, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5$104.73Mar 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLOlympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5$104.74Mar 22, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $77.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".