Pungent-Messy
0x8d4e47ca88dfbc1289ffd25a5eb87599283176e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$42.92
Total PnL
$0.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$6.40
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?
6 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.38
$0.18
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.21
$0.11
- NO
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.88
$0.10
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.44
$0.04
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.23
$0.01
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.22
$0.02
- NO
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be another combination?$5.40Dec 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.00Dec 20, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.16Dec 20, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$5.92Dec 20, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$6.04Dec 20, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?$5.78Nov 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.22Nov 15, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$5.04Nov 15, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.34Oct 27, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?$6.20Oct 27, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$5.80Sep 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$6.00Aug 15, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.10Aug 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$5.21Aug 15, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$6.10Jul 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$5.20Jul 18, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill X buy TikTok?$1.18Jul 18, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perplexity AI buy TikTok?$1.23Jul 18, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$1.55Jul 18, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".