Round-Vacation
0x8db5bfb848ee6745c475df375bd0c983468bfa3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$15.6K
Total PnL
$320.90
Realised
$-17.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
7167 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.1K
$63.29
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2579 shares @ 85.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$262.55
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2079 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.0K
$-21.71
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
1579 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.5K
$46.58
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1316 shares @ 91.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$21.71
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1042 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$3.12
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
280 shares @ 66.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.00
$-30.80
- NO
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
163 shares @ 74.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$125.49
$4.89
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.50
$-2.50
- NO
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
3 shares @ 92.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.19
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1000.00May 16, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1000.00May 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.5KMay 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1000.00May 16, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$4.6KMay 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$4.2KMay 11, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.0KMay 11, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$21.28May 11, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?$1.0KMay 11, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$8.2KMay 10, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMMap 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$15.00May 8, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$591.80May 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$0.57May 7, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$707.64May 7, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.2KMay 7, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$124.62May 7, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$8.74May 7, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$1.68May 7, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$385.80May 7, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$27.60May 7, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".