Alive-Thunderstorm
0x8dc7a4315b3a6230a507a3776e68cd3ceb2b116f
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$24.7K
Total PnL
$-673.56
Realised
$-103.25
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2650 shares @ 86.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$182.08
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2000 shares @ 54.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$-19.99
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
1136 shares @ 83.1¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$977.22
$32.79
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7000 shares @ 8.2¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$972.96
$398.48
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
1224 shares @ 80.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$875.03
$-108.93
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3300 shares @ 11.8¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$836.50
$448.11
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1500 shares @ 47.9¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$802.50
$84.70
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
700 shares @ 88.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$654.40
$37.92
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
700 shares @ 79.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$605.50
$48.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3500 shares @ 17.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$582.73
$-28.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.62May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$762.28May 17, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.63May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.61May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$200.91May 14, 09:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.61May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.63May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$4.20May 10, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$500.00May 10, 06:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.63May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$103.68May 9, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$97.31May 9, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$119.41May 9, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$29.66May 9, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?$283.69May 9, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?$283.69May 9, 06:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.65May 9, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $133.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".