Fatal-Prevalence
0x8dca7883325c51923de65d3183cceae7f52dab5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$16.19
Total PnL
$-0.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
15 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$15.02
$0.06
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$14.97May 16, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$0.40May 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$0.01May 11, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$3.49May 11, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$3.20May 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$1.01May 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$22.27May 11, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$1.63May 10, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$20.03May 10, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 10, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$2.77May 10, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$5.16May 10, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$5.00May 10, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$3.00May 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$6.71May 10, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 10, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 10, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$9.67May 10, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$10.01May 10, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$1.01May 10, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".