Clumsy-Parent
0x8de0ee3ce923e4ae28b9745a652797eaea8887a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$8.5K
Total PnL
$-563.0K
Realised
$4.0K
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
16597 shares @ 51.7¢·now 51.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.5K
$-96.84
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1557357 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1285524 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-107.2K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
870307 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.0K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
621215 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.4K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
555567 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.1K
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
461072 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
385000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
235862 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-22.3K
- NO
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
198123 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3.3KApr 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$35.6KApr 7, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$1.1KApr 7, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.4KApr 7, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$26.2KApr 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.20Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.07Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.13Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.17Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.04Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.33Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.14Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.04Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.10Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.10Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.39Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.07Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.07Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.35Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.21Mar 15, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $826.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".