Tight-Alpenhorn
0x8deb06b666eac01ffda6bdbb940e06ecb734d435
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-998.07
Realised
$-11.30
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- NO
Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
292 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$261.16
$7.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
241 shares @ 83.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$237.63
$36.29
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
277 shares @ 72.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$233.68
$33.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
237 shares @ 84.2¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$224.91
$25.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
227 shares @ 80.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$211.32
$28.88
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
200 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$198.10
$8.10
- NO
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 80.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$197.89
$36.90
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
198 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$196.65
$5.15
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.10
$7.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$178.00
$28.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$16.00May 15, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.50May 15, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$60.00May 15, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.00May 15, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$60.00May 15, 10:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in May?$27.75May 7, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in May?$48.70May 7, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$28.53May 7, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$38.86May 7, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $55.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".