Unnatural-Error
0x8dfc7a46864669ea1becbd166769e8057276f414
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
128
Open notional
$11.99
Total PnL
$-560.77
Realised
$5.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- YES
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
230 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 November 10-16?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 11?
8717 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 24?
7500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 12?
7500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 25?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 18?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$45.32May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$45.02May 13, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$45.55May 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$45.04May 6, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $20 April 27-May 3?$45.33May 6, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 April 27-May 3?$45.02Apr 29, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23?$44.50Apr 29, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23?$44.00Apr 23, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$34.76Apr 23, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.05Apr 19, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.71Apr 19, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.01Apr 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.07Apr 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.16Apr 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$34.42Apr 7, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$33.25Apr 7, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$33.00Mar 31, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$30.30Mar 31, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$30.00Mar 16, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 16, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".