Reasonable-Reparation
0x8e2281d927fdd6bbe03e8bea44239a0a70e2237e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$14.20
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$22.75
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- KAI ASAKURA
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.20
$2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 13?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5
1455 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-14.55
- YES
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
604 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?
542 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
505 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-22.75
- YES
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- JIRÍ PROCHÁZKA
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
485 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-249.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.00May 18, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$51.02May 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$25.89May 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)$60.91May 17, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLO/U 2.5 Rounds$56.01May 17, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)$0.05May 17, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$30.42May 17, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)$36.99May 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$15.21May 17, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)$20.28May 17, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)$39.17May 17, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)$20.29May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$108.48May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$15.20May 16, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$20.35May 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$9.18May 15, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$21.65May 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$32.04May 15, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$20.53May 15, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox$20.40May 15, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $23.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".