Live-Mop
0x8e2d02fedfe1d7afc02afddc738be7076ef91fba
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$10.48
Total PnL
$-46.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.01
$0.21
- YES
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.73
$1.73
- YES
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?
3 shares @ 53.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.07
$0.42
- YES
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.68
$-0.36
- YES
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1.5m?
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
15 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
15 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
12 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$6.00May 18, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 117 billion views by March 31?$10.00Apr 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?$1.50Mar 9, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$9.85Mar 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04Mar 1, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$2.85Feb 28, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$2.00Feb 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$4.99Feb 15, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.10Feb 8, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.90Feb 8, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?$3.70Feb 5, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLedger IPO closing market cap above $4B?$1.00Feb 5, 03:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.03Feb 5, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$3.75Feb 4, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?$3.40Feb 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$3.50Feb 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.42Feb 4, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$3.60Feb 4, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$7.96Feb 4, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 Six Nations championship?$1.25Feb 3, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".