Embarrassed-Dogsled
0x8e3ff6a40f8c0273b830be61e30eab44d204131c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$83.07
Total PnL
$-31.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?
26 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$26.00
$0.05
- NO
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 42m?
26 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$26.00
$0.03
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$8.08
$0.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
8 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$8.00
$0.72
- NO
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$7.99
$0.01
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
7 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$7.00
$0.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
25 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
25 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
15 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$8.05Mar 29, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$7.98Mar 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$7.28Mar 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$6.70Mar 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 42m?$25.97Mar 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?$25.95Mar 29, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on March 23?$5.93Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on March 23?$6.00Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on March 23?$7.00Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 22?$7.00Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 21?$7.00Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 23?$7.00Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on March 23?$8.00Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on March 23?$8.00Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 9°C or below on March 23?$11.00Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on March 23?$15.00Mar 29, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on March 23?$5.92Mar 21, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 22?$6.99Mar 21, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 21?$6.99Mar 21, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on March 23?$14.98Mar 21, 16:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $24.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".