Triangular-Tulip
0x8e5c0cc55cda93d6cae14becb3b738a44dcaa68a
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$392.1K
Total PnL
$-17.0K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
326235 shares @ 33.1¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$79.4K
$-28.6K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
74438 shares @ 68.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.0K
$-265.52
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
53079 shares @ 84.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.2K
$5.5K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
39727 shares @ 79.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.8K
$1.0K
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
30210 shares @ 84.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.1K
$525.68
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
24936 shares @ 86.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.9K
$1.3K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
23095 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.0K
$1.7K
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
18784 shares @ 82.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.6K
$1.2K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
21785 shares @ 65.4¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.4K
$137.31
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
18915 shares @ 65.3¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.2K
$-150.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$11.03May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.26May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$755.54May 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.33May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$23.33May 17, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.67May 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$11.20May 17, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.5KMay 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$79.85May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$105.28May 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$141.40May 17, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.13May 17, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.7KMay 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$93.33May 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$12.00May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$11.91May 17, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7.00May 17, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9.52May 17, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$23.33May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00May 17, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 17, 13:10 UTC → May 17, 13:06 UTC
- BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.2K@70¢May 17, 13:06 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$10.2K
1 trades
30d volume
$10.2K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$10.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".