Complicated-Copper
0x8e78878271452acb5a5be368d117baf181e7ea77
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$340.78
Realised
$235.46
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1000 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$955.00
$1.67
- YES
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
744 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$734.17
$-2.97
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?
739 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$698.57
$33.11
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
3744 shares @ 12.9¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$486.73
$4.92
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
355 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$350.96
$6.92
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$294.15
$21.15
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$286.50
$22.50
- NO
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
188 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$188.05
$2.46
- NO
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
175 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$174.33
$5.25
- NO
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
109 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$109.08
$4.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?$475.95May 15, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$56.50May 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$480.00May 15, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$11.55May 13, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$24.74May 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$35.35May 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$15.71May 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$37.92May 13, 10:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02May 12, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$9.55May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$77.87May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$153.45May 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$26.75May 11, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$11.77May 11, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$32.38May 11, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$32.38May 11, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$49.04May 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$38.08May 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$5.65May 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$1.00May 11, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $124.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".