Low-Polenta
0x8e7a0b1d4a6a3a3a2e20eca677d3706ce229f429
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$14.7K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$2.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5000 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.0K
$2.50
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5590 shares @ 76.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.9K
$-345.31
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3176 shares @ 89.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.0K
$191.84
- NO
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2006 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.0K
$1.00
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
400 shares @ 90.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$371.40
$8.20
- NO
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
200 shares @ 87.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.98
$-12.00
- NO
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
102 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.93
$0.93
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1417 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$67.33
$-32.67
- NO
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?
4189 shares @ 5.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$46.08
$-168.92
- YES
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-24?
15892 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-377.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$105.13May 18, 01:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.99May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.09May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$92.11May 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$4.60May 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$443.97May 16, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$112.88May 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$14.61May 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.16May 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$34.33May 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$58.22May 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$56.10May 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$61.86May 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.57May 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.85May 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$64.16May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.92May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.77May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.71May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$25.66May 16, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $233.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".