Avaricious-Phenotype
0x8e833365b41eb5807493c4de38642e321efc10d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$432.01
Total PnL
$48.36
Realised
$-7.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
268 shares @ 85.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$218.56
$-9.41
- NO
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?
300 shares @ 25.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$211.50
$136.50
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
77 shares @ 27.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-18.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
80 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-17.98
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
50 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$20.77Feb 7, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$15.12Feb 6, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?$75.00Feb 3, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$99.50Feb 1, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$11.76Jan 30, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$97.51Jan 29, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$97.80Jan 28, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$333.20Jan 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$342.72Jan 19, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$340.20Jan 19, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$336.60Jan 17, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$319.49Jan 15, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$300.00Jan 3, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$164.00Dec 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$82.00Dec 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$272.06Dec 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$195.32Dec 2, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?$195.32Dec 2, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?$193.17Dec 1, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$193.17Dec 1, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $88.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".