Capital-Tub
0x8e88e1ec83fa450ac03efef8347ab1bad6ac0670
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$105.9K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
24735 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$24.7K
$3.0K
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
25217 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.6K
$44.41
- NO
Trump out as President by March 31?
22031 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.0K
$855.46
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
11398 shares @ 85.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.3K
$554.17
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
9246 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.2K
$1.5K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6307 shares @ 92.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.5K
$-287.74
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
4645 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.6K
$248.51
- NO
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?
1864 shares @ 86.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$249.43
- NO
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
1318 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.3K
$49.43
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
1089 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$941.99
$-38.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMLarry Summers in jail before 2026?$42.15Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria participate in Eurovision 2026?$48.75Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. Out by December 31?$58.90Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy participate in Eurovision 2026?$68.01Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?$104.17Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$120.32Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$142.98Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMTrump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?$153.03Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?$170.67Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?$210.07Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany participate in Eurovision 2026?$225.90Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade Finland in 2025?$295.37Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI acquired in 2025?$349.85Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMKristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 12?$667.56Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMObama arrested in 2025?$1.2KJan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?$1.3KJan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$1.5KJan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?$1.7KJan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMIran nuclear test in 2025?$1.7KJan 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMNicolas Sarkozy in jail by December 31?$2.0KJan 3, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $994.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".