Careless-Flood
0x8eb6ff60036fc39caf54e76c731a302f0bcbe197
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$78.92
Total PnL
$1.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
40 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$39.18
$1.18
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?
19 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.75
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?$240.24May 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$11.00May 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?$240.01May 16, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$9.72May 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?$19.00May 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$38.00May 16, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$310.00May 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$302.56May 15, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$310.00May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$309.53May 14, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $132.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".