Shallow-Dilapidation
0x8ecde64de7886fb364a79c002d6efa494dd484b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
90
Open notional
$153.26
Total PnL
$-69.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
16 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.21
$0.60
- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
15 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.72
$0.53
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
15 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.07
$0.22
- YES
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$6.40
- YES
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$9.51
$0.30
- YES
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
15 shares @ 75.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$9.45
$-1.80
- YES
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$8.60
$1.20
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.50
$1.40
- YES
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
15 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.2¢·exp Nov 22, 2026$6.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.85
$0.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00May 6, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$14.99May 6, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?$15.00May 6, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?$6.13May 6, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 17?$10.00May 6, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 16?$10.00May 6, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?$10.00May 6, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 17?$10.00May 6, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?$14.94May 6, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5?$14.98May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 10?$14.98May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?$14.98May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?$14.99May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 5?$14.99May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 6?$14.99May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on April 3?$14.99May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?$14.99May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?$15.00May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Pahlavi" on Truth Social this week?$15.00May 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on April 3?$15.00May 6, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $7.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 10:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".