Courteous-Likeness
0x8f2100aa027be80f8ad7106d21a9f95a26a5b935
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-326.77
Win rate
50%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
2299 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.2K
$235.63
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7576 shares @ 26.4¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.8K
$-155.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1987 shares @ 64.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$219.54
- NO
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
1091 shares @ 72.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$228.32
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
3571 shares @ 28.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$839.29
$-160.71
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
690 shares @ 58.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$437.93
$37.93
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
471 shares @ 47.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$378.95
$155.96
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
1000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$364.98
$-144.99
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
295 shares @ 86.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$249.03
$-5.97
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
277 shares @ 72.3¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$226.84
$26.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$2.57May 18, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$20.69May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$874.64May 18, 02:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?$50.15May 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$26.13May 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$26.03May 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$25.93May 15, 18:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$256.37May 12, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$55.73May 12, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$15.16May 12, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.38May 10, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$404.13May 10, 04:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $180.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".