Sparse-Celsius
0x8f41129e43ebfbfe6075d0804f3b2bb763b3260e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$37.2K
Total PnL
$3.9K
Realised
$5.2K
Win rate
96%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
8200 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.1K
$93.12
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8000 shares @ 94.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.6K
$60.03
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1034550 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.7K
$517.27
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
576936 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.2K
$288.47
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
579404 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$289.70
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71575 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$-35.72
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
800 shares @ 83.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$692.00
$24.00
- YES
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
268277 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$670.69
$-83.43
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35491 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$656.58
$4.19
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
70000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$595.00
$35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.22May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.12May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.79May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.01May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.17May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.14May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.23May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.49May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.10May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.23May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.16May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.67May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.07May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.00May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.23May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.02May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.19May 18, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".