Demanding-Chopsticks
0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$207.8K
Total PnL
$-152.5K
Realised
$6.5K
Win rate
91%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
110000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$89.5K
$34.5K
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
61488 shares @ 86.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.8K
$-7.3K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
110000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.5K
$-34.5K
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
40281 shares @ 63.7¢·now 28.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.3K
$-14.4K
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
7000 shares @ 78.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.8K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
12865 shares @ 72.3¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.8K
$-2.5K
- GAMERLEGION
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner
12361 shares @ 34.8¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$6.2K
$1.9K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$725.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
13991 shares @ 45.6¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.2K
$-4.2K
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
2257 shares @ 46.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$810.45
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$104.53May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$12.07May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$152.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$41.08May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$5.50May 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$161.00May 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$29.41May 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$209.01May 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$171.50May 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$108.71May 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$36.83May 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$25.66May 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$6.06May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$87.28May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$24.83May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$102.57May 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$310.00May 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$320.00May 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$1.3KMay 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$2.39May 17, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $198.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".