Thorough-Preface
0x8f6e3a47ef49e81b399abf75a3976ceb3525a10b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$134.55
Total PnL
$-22.23
Realised
$1.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
105 shares @ 23.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$27.82
$2.83
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
111 shares @ 23.5¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.35
$-7.82
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.13
$-9.87
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
55 shares @ 31.2¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.03
$-3.12
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 13.4¢·now 24.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.28
$5.58
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.20
$2.40
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 20.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.49
$1.39
- NO
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
20 shares @ 41.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.40
$-0.80
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.73
$-1.67
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.68
$0.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".