Accomplished-Homeland
0x8fb51e2f2653da157aee2a2c2e90233ab419d37c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
82
Open notional
$492.68
Total PnL
$-823.39
Realised
$-0.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Natural Disaster in 2026?
200 shares @ 69.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$149.00
$11.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$89.42
$-10.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
200 shares @ 35.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.00
$-21.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.57
$14.57
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 35.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.93
$3.93
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
350 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.07
$-19.43
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 12.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$17.57
$12.57
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.06
$-10.94
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$13.51
$12.51
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 26.2¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.17
$-0.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$10.44May 17, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.19May 17, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.09May 17, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$3.16May 17, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00May 17, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$10.87May 17, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$5.19May 17, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$9.32May 17, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$10.43May 17, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$7.37May 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 17, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$3.60May 17, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5.21May 17, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$26.14May 17, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$5.24May 17, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$3.17May 17, 04:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$2.20May 16, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$5.24May 16, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".