Liquid-Comment
0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.0K
Total PnL
$-305.3K
Realised
$-212.67
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$650.00
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
11690 shares @ 14.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$162.71
- YES
Megaquake by June 30?
10556 shares @ 19.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-826.99
- YES
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
11817 shares @ 37.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$886.30
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
4613 shares @ 12.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$530.54
$-64.65
- YES
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
14477 shares @ 27.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$521.17
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
7955 shares @ 46.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$517.10
$-3.2K
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
15842 shares @ 8.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$514.86
$-855.37
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
30804 shares @ 9.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$508.27
$-2.5K
- YES
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
4202 shares @ 13.5¢·now 9.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$403.40
$-165.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5$1.0KMay 18, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-05-17?$1.3KMay 18, 04:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.82May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)$165.56May 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)$999.00May 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)$7.83May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)$5.00May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)$5.00May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)$5.00May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)$11.41May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBotafogo FR vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5$342.21May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBotafogo FR vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5$656.76May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Dinamo Makhachkala vs. FK Spartak Moskva end in a draw?$1.5KMay 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)$619.36May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)$69.93May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)$509.47May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Elche CF (-1.5)$1.2KMay 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Athletic Club (-1.5)$1.2KMay 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)$259.73May 17, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $629.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".