Muted-Primary
0x9163b65317deaab8b3b681c5a7a5c261d99b82ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$24.8K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
71%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18591 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.5K
$9.2K
- NO
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
545 shares @ 84.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$504.01
$44.06
- NO
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
399 shares @ 58.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$398.27
$166.54
- NO
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
478 shares @ 89.9¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$387.40
$-42.47
- NO
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
278 shares @ 68.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$237.69
$48.65
- NO
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
228 shares @ 59.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$227.71
$91.55
- YES
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?
643 shares @ 3.7¢·now 33.6¢·exp May 26, 2026$215.85
$192.04
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
395 shares @ 28.6¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$203.11
$90.28
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
529 shares @ 47.2¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$192.96
$-56.78
- NO
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?
198 shares @ 74.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$183.01
$36.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$414.24May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?$136.60May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$2.00May 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.00May 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$8.30May 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$6.96May 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$16.37May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.03May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.06May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$3.08May 18, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$0.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Espanyol be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$0.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.02May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$18.66May 18, 03:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.77May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.35May 18, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$1.16May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.90May 18, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $26.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".