Frivolous-Guerrilla
0x919567f2466daf2627ae3582ef6a2502ad5772a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$17.6K
Total PnL
$739.49
Realised
$29.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
12248 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$12.2K
$748.28
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
10670 shares @ 46.7¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$353.25
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
112 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$54.50
$-0.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
609 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-359.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
36 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$11.23May 18, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$8.40May 18, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$11.5KMay 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$11.5KMay 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$29.39May 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$29.38May 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$93.88May 18, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$45.71May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$47.85May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$67.04May 18, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$67.07May 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$50.89May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$50.85May 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$95.57May 18, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$20.91May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$20.69May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$51.09May 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$51.61May 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.07May 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$138.50May 17, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $589.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".