Dear-Crocus
0x91b906c731d8096986fddb089739bfb339dcdcd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$95.97
Realised
$105.86
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
925 shares @ 82.7¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$867.65
$102.80
- NO
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
248 shares @ 90.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.33
$1.81
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
300 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$174.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
89 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.63
$3.24
- YES
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.00
$-1.00
- YES
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
233 shares @ 11.1¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.62
$-17.32
- YES
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
32 shares @ 9.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.05
$2.16
- YES
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.76
- YES
Another commercial airline evacuation before March?
1887 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-91.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$4.44May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$1.61May 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$172.23May 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$10.77May 13, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$2.39May 8, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$266.73May 8, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$0.50May 8, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$1.50May 8, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$28.00May 8, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$10.78May 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$30.00May 6, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$29.29May 6, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$1.53May 3, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$21.00Apr 30, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$1.33Apr 29, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$27.13Apr 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?$0.13Apr 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?$0.02Apr 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?$0.37Apr 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?$0.07Apr 28, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $56.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".