Cold-Daffodil
0x91f96161d18894af7ebcc3d9f17740e303aba726
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$676.50
Total PnL
$-534.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
33000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$676.50
$-247.50
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
2020 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-226.06
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.16Apr 4, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.61Apr 4, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.73Apr 4, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.14Apr 4, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.77Apr 4, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.92Apr 4, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$345.68Apr 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.25Apr 4, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.59Apr 4, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.59Apr 4, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.59Apr 4, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.53Apr 4, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.59Apr 4, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.74Apr 4, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.18Apr 4, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.28Apr 4, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.18Apr 4, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.35Apr 4, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.66Apr 4, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Apr 4, 03:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".