Orderly-Encirclement
0x929b5a1b06f46023605822a36cfc99ee52942205
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$220.10
Total PnL
$-53.03
Realised
$-1.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
69 shares @ 43.4¢·now 35.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.76
$-5.24
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
24 shares @ 84.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.79
$1.79
- NO
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.28
$1.28
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.69
$0.69
- NO
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.36
$0.36
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
19 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.15
$-7.85
- NO
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.99
$0.99
- NO
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?
13 shares @ 98.0¢·now 82.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.91
$-2.09
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.74
$0.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$5.49May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.04May 11, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?$10.00May 11, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$3.00May 11, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$4.42May 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$3.60May 10, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 10, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$10.58May 10, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$10.87May 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.95May 1, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$15.49May 1, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$5.00May 1, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.26May 1, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Comey be arrested before 2027?$10.01May 1, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Kerry be arrested before 2027?$2.00May 1, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Comey be arrested before 2027?$3.00May 1, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit North Korea by June 30?$10.00May 1, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$5.86May 1, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$11.75May 1, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$5.95May 1, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".