Grand-Notice
0x92cb655a0d179cc6fd136f835285dc964065ee05
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$112.00
Total PnL
$-135.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.09
$-0.91
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.44
$-7.56
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?
14 shares @ 72.1¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.36
$-0.64
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.91
$-1.09
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
14 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.07
$0.07
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
39 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.42
$-0.58
- YUSUKE TAKAHASHI
Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.46
$0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi$5.04May 18, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$6.76May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?$5.05May 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$5.12May 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.10May 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$20.81May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?$14.07May 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?$10.09May 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$5.11May 17, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$8.10May 17, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?$5.12May 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$7.09May 17, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17?$5.04May 17, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$5.04May 17, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$5.12May 17, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$8.10May 17, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?$10.08May 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00May 16, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$7.25May 16, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".