Luminous-Roadway
0x92eb1cd8de460e6f89115218acd8c35d58ba986a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
153
Open notional
$7.7K
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-226.81
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
2000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.9K
$43.00
- NO
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
4129 shares @ 38.5¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.6K
$-19.35
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1097 shares @ 69.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$762.38
$-3.62
- NO
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
600 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$560.95
$45.00
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
733 shares @ 65.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$487.47
$6.48
- NO
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1200 shares @ 18.4¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$432.07
$210.77
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
558 shares @ 81.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$415.43
$-36.56
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1068 shares @ 28.1¢·now 29.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$318.68
$18.68
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?
267 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$266.67
$106.67
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
400 shares @ 63.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$238.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$189.66May 18, 04:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.19May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$299.99May 18, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.75May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?$1.26May 17, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$66.39May 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$61.00May 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.44May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.00May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$740.00May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$89.58May 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$9.30May 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$72.00May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$4.03May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$500.00May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$500.42May 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$54.96May 17, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$25.00May 17, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.2KMay 17, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $379.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".