Nocturnal-Taxpayer
0x93632fc2852bf44df5d60f56886d3066739d52ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$73.10
Total PnL
$-733.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
150 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.75
$-3.75
- NO
Will Kevin Lincoln II advance from the CA-13 primary election?
150 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$15.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
150 shares @ 20.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$15.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
150 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$8.55
$-15.45
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
300 shares @ 12.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.25
$-30.15
- YES
Will the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?
950 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.85
$-95.90
- YES
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
150 shares @ 13.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.57
$-19.08
- YES
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.13
$-0.42
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3321 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-31.71
- NO
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?
2800 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-68.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?$39.94May 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?$0.06May 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$45.00May 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$36.00May 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?$40.00May 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$36.00May 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$322.40May 13, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$40.00May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$16.00May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$24.00May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$42.00May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$30.30May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$40.00May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 11, 2026?$40.00May 11, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$28.05May 11, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$183.00May 8, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$38.00May 8, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$31.80May 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.20May 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$34.00May 8, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $44.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".