Few-Refusal
0x9419d77566df79c2f8c6679c9933c2ac76aea40f
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$17.6K
Total PnL
$921.60
Realised
$159.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
15000 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.7K
$102.51
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1620 shares @ 88.9¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$43.02
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$585.00
$475.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
688 shares @ 17.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$285.62
$166.62
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
218 shares @ 91.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.18
$-1.52
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1330 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$111.05
$4.65
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
650 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$108.22
$7.73
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1400 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$72.10
$-25.90
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
837 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.8KMay 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.8KMay 17, 11:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.03May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$0.66May 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$178.34May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$15.6KMay 16, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$457.73May 16, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$498.64May 16, 04:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.31May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$20.00May 15, 09:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.11May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$456.00May 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$3.97May 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$10.10May 14, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$547.97May 13, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".