Grotesque-Establishment
0x9483b972b33518ae87ad2e48f0c9dd1dfb901656
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$42.69
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-30.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.22
$0.22
- NO
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.12
$0.14
- NO
Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?
3 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.68
$0.03
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.61
$0.03
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 96.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.52
$-0.02
- NO
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$0.04
- NO
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.13
$0.02
- NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
2 shares @ 92.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.23May 17, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.02May 17, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$1.06May 17, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.35May 17, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.45May 17, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?$1.46May 17, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30? $2.52May 17, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.34Apr 27, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$127.28Apr 27, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$77.08Apr 22, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$77.08Apr 22, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$60.19Apr 19, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$10.00Apr 19, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Apr 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO before 2027?$1.02Apr 18, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.53Apr 18, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.89Apr 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?$1.45Apr 11, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Apr 8, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".