Blue-Bend
0x9495d622ab74a601ad1668d3dd4f7a2e68c3468f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$122.05
Total PnL
$-122.79
Realised
$-32.81
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?
116 shares @ 75.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$69.50
$-17.38
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
43 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$35.26
$-0.43
- YES
Will Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
78 shares @ 20.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$7.45
$-8.23
- YES
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 NL Central title?
40 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$3.40
$-1.00
- YES
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
216 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.02
$-7.77
- YES
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
61 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.41
$-1.86
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$-0.26
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?
187 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.35
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
78 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-43.68
- YES
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$205.44May 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.75May 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.38May 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25.00May 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.90May 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$254.71May 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$500.00May 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$194.40May 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$194.40May 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 2%?$6.48May 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$35.69May 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$46.43May 18, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$172.07May 18, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jim Desmond advance from the CA-48 primary election?$0.40May 18, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.87May 18, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$1.61May 18, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$55.95May 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$0.22May 18, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$0.81May 18, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.74May 18, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $71.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".