Sorrowful-Consensus
0x94a428cfa4f84b264e01f70d93d02bc96cb36356
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$93.9K
Total PnL
$-77.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
146779 shares @ 48.7¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$53.2K
$-18.3K
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
38352 shares @ 78.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.0K
$6.9K
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
2472 shares @ 72.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.5K
$-259.59
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20477 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$972.64
$322.38
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
4241 shares @ 29.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$954.26
$-275.67
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$185.00
$-615.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$75.00
$-54.42
- YES
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?
100000 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-62.0K
- YES
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?
3977 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$5.84May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.85May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.80May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.81May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.88May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$5.89May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.94May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$5.97May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.98May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$6.06May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$6.25May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$6.28May 7, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$25.57May 6, 06:28 UTC
- YIELD$6.30May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$6.29May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.93May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.43May 3, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$334.85May 2, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$3.87May 2, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.55May 2, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 21:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".