Crowded-Formicarium
0x94a80e4a84356c535671a02c7012d6eed51b5227
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$973.32
Total PnL
$23.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
455 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$402.27
$2.27
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
235 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$212.94
$12.94
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
107 shares @ 93.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.99
$5.99
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
124 shares @ 80.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.64
$1.64
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$98.24
$-1.76
- NO
Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.25
$2.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 8, 10:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 3, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?$115.06May 2, 17:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 1, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $84.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".