Nocturnal-Kimono
0x94beedf4315eea2817a7153186f2f84874262151
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$512.35
Total PnL
$121.45
Realised
$152.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
147 shares @ 68.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$143.14
$43.14
- NO
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
51 shares @ 59.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$49.44
$19.44
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 49.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.25
$44.25
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37 shares @ 53.4¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.88
$3.88
- $80K
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.81
$13.81
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.00
$3.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.24
$-1.76
- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
476 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.52
$4.52
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.08
$4.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$10.35Apr 29, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $3.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".