Velvety-Confirmation
0x94d0f4a485b7670d244224b33e1659a8b1959e65
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$14.9K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$685.70
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
2595 shares @ 87.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$199.68
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
1597 shares @ 78.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$299.07
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
2271 shares @ 66.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-81.36
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
1334 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-20.01
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
1251 shares @ 77.8¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$201.95
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
1221 shares @ 91.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$53.59
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
1630 shares @ 60.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$150.60
- NO
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
1198 shares @ 90.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$20.19
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
1266 shares @ 79.7¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.1K
$42.02
- NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?
703 shares @ 79.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$678.35
$116.85
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.31May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.87May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia coup attempt in 2026?$29.94May 16, 09:43 UTC
- REWARD$4.18May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$29.61May 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$0.80May 15, 05:48 UTC
- REWARD$14.77May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$400.76May 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$38.62May 14, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$205.88May 14, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$261.62May 14, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$344.12May 14, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$6.29May 14, 07:40 UTC
- REWARD$16.95May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$1.2KMay 13, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$2.7KMay 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.2KMay 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$1.1KMay 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$277.00May 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?$1.1KMay 13, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $242.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".