Prize-Torte
0x94e4639e9aef0eab61533ecafe74c5f15662534a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-915.15
Realised
$7.2K
Win rate
93%
137 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
32121 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$770.90
$-329.04
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1700 shares @ 49.1¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$600.10
$-235.49
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3040 shares @ 29.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$532.00
$-364.39
- YES
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
21668 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$292.52
$31.09
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12274 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$262.65
$-16.96
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
870 shares @ 38.7¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$252.30
$-84.48
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3279 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$245.93
$19.42
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14055 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$231.91
$-38.93
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
26735 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$200.51
$-2.06
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
26779 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$174.06
$40.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.48May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.12May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.12May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$2.52May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.84May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.59May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.13May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.09May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.84May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.06May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.08May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.80May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.25May 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$1.45May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$1.41May 18, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$1.11May 18, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 137 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".