Compassionate-Kneejerk
0x95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4M
Total PnL
$23.4K
Realised
$-279.94
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$406.8K
$156.8K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$93.3K
$-156.8K
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
83791 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.7K
$194.65
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
82378 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$81.3K
$396.90
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
68192 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$67.7K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
56409 shares @ 84.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.7K
$5.2K
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
37775 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$37.5K
$693.71
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
30000 shares @ 90.7¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.9K
$637.49
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
30000 shares @ 91.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$27.1K
$-260.97
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
23178 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$23.0K
$145.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$154.00May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.9KMay 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.6KMay 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$124.00May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.08May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.2KMay 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$620.00May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$248.00May 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$65.12May 18, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$14.07May 18, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill GIANTX qualify for EWC 2026?$636.66May 18, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shifters qualify for EWC 2026?$135.91May 18, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Team Heretics qualify for EWC 2026?$359.94May 18, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fnatic qualify for EWC 2026?$1.0KMay 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galions qualify for EWC 2026?$100.00May 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Team Vitality qualify for EWC 2026?$809.67May 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.2KMay 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.0KMay 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.5KMay 18, 03:39 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$40.9KMay 18, 02:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$7.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 18, 02:40 UTC → May 18, 02:34 UTC
- BUYWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$7.2K@100¢May 18, 02:34 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.2K
1 trades
30d volume
$7.2K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
$7.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".