Ripe-Thongs
0x950ac006e2d64c97abeea28e97a9acd817d6b380
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.79
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
37%
111 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?
681 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.79
$-3.58
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
113812 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-341.89
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?
93307 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-125.68
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?
65352 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-308.01
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?
20810 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-26.78
- YES
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?
16952 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.96
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?
16123 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.35
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
14157 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-28.31
- YES
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?
10180 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.99
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
9257 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-35.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$0.68May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$0.98May 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$8.55May 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0.73May 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$4.00May 10, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$4.00May 10, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$3.15May 1, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$0.75May 1, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$14.88May 1, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.31Apr 28, 09:58 UTC
- REWARD$3.53Apr 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$5.34Apr 26, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$7.02Apr 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$1.76Apr 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$2.24Apr 22, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 21, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$4.20Apr 20, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$4.00Apr 20, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$6.11Apr 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?$4.00Apr 18, 14:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 111 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".